Election watch: ANC trailing DA in new survey - TechCentral

Election watch: ANC trailing DA in new survey

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The ANC is trailing the main opposition party in three key cities including Pretoria, the capital, and Johannesburg, before municipal elections on 3 August, the latest eNCA public opinion survey shows.

ANC support slumped by two points to 23% in the Tshwane municipality, which includes Pretoria, while the Democratic Alliance gained a point to 40%, according to the poll, which was compiled for the broadcaster by research company Ipsos.

The Economic Freedom Fighters remained steady at 13%, while 14 percent of those surveyed were undecided.

In Johannesburg, the commercial hub, the ANC had 31% backing, while the DA gained one point to 36%, and the EFF held at 9%, according to the poll. It said 14% of those surveyed in the municipality were undecided.

The ANC gained in a third key municipality that it controls, Nelson Mandela Bay, which incorporates the city of Port Elizabeth. Its support rose by one percentage point in the past week to 28%, according to the poll, compared to 42% for the DA and 6% for the EFF. The poll showed that 16% of those surveyed were undecided.

The poll is the seventh commissioned by eNCA that shows the ANC is facing a serious challenge to maintain control of the three municipalities, as a 27% unemployment rate, a lack of basic services and a succession of scandals embroiling party leader President Jacob Zuma takes its toll. The ANC has won more than 60% of the vote in every election since white minority rule ended in 1994.

The poll does not make a prediction of what will happen on voting day, but rather reflects the sentiment at the time of the survey, Stella Fleetwood, Ipsos business unit director for public affairs, said on Thursday by phone. It’s “too far off to make a prediction” for the actual election, she said.

The August vote is being contested by 200 parties and 61 014 candidates. The ANC won control of 198 of the 278 municipalities, including seven of the country’s eight biggest metropolitan areas, in the last municipal elections in 2011. The DA secured an outright majority in 18 councils, including Cape Town, the second-biggest city, which wasn’t covered by the eNCA poll.

The poll had a margin of error of between 1,2% and 2,8% in Johannesburg, from 1,6% to 3,7% in Pretoria and between 2,5% and 5,7% in Nelson Mandela Bay, according to eNCA.

The survey was conducted with more than 1 400 respondents in a five-minute interview on their cellphone, including 203 people in Nelson Mandela Bay, 748 voters in Johannesburg and 483 in Tshwane, Fleetwood said.  — (c) 2016 Bloomberg LP

5 Comments

  1. CharlieTango on

    I think these election polls are much like the opinions of our ruling party politicians and probably hold about the same value.

  2. On the 1st and 2nd of August 2016 the street Committees and taxi Commissars will be hard at work ‘reminding’ (we know where you live) the members of the community as to their ethnic DUTY to vote for their Liberators who enabled the same MOTC to enjoy the fruits of the so-called struggle.
    The DA, once more, and forever, will be a sad little opposition party adrift in a sea of ethnic DUTY.
    My prediction? These polls will show the pollsters have about as much substance as Hlaudi’s matric certificate.
    I would like to be proved wrong, but the Commissars always win in the end.

  3. Vusumuzi Sibiya on

    >>The poll is the seventh commissioned by eNCA that shows the ANC is
    facing a serious challenge to maintain control of the three
    municipalities,

    …just gotta thank eNCA for the notable contributions they make towards keeping all volunteers, cadres as well as candidates fired up and always motivated;

    …without eNCA, there’d certainly be that characteristic overconfidence and leaving of victory up to chance – Eish! what would we be without eNCA;

    …we’ll be sure repay all of this with an overwhelming victory celebration dedicated especially to the eNCA election results headlines 🙂 Amandla!!

  4. I’m sorry, but even after I put your comment onto Google Translate I still can’t make head nor bloody tail of it.What exactly is the point you are trying to make? Your comment’s logic eludes me.
    But do keep trying to be a grown up and one day your grade R teacher will give you a little gold star to put in your joined-up writing exercise book. Does the ANC Dept of edumacation still teach cursive writing? I really don’t know. As far as I can make out the majority of so-called schools in this country nowadays are nothing more than holding pens to keep their inmates off the streets for most of the day.
    Kinda reminds me of when Zuma brought home his second Grade R report card and his Mission School teacher wrote on it: “Jacob’s handwriting has improved to such an extent that now we can finally see how atrocious his spelling is”

  5. Vusumuzi Sibiya on

    >>I’m sorry, but even after I put your comment onto Google Translate I still can’t make head nor bloody tail of it.

    I know it must be hard for you baas Davebee but it’s called old age… you know that phenomenon that you can expect to be happening to people who had always been accustomed to that “white privilege” goat’s milk from a long past era of bliss.

    >>Does the ANC Dept of edumacation still teach cursive writing?

    Eish… baas Davebee, you always manage to expose yourself for just how out of touch you are with the new era; the kids nowadays have tablets (NB not medication) provided to them by our ANC gov under Parks Tau – You know, that same comrade that you would also agree, will still be mayor after the coming elections.

    >>As far as I can make out the majority of so-called schools in this country nowadays are nothing more than holding pens to keep their inmates off the streets for most of the day.

    That was the case back when your government still had such facilities as Robin Island still operational along with other such schools that you operated for the black majority of our people;

    …things have certainly changed since then and if you were to begin reading some current newspaper publications and not those nostalgia copies that you keep from the past era to entertain yourself on that rocking-chair then you would –

    …agh!! don’t worry, just enjoy your old-age – and don’t let me spoil things with a dose of New SA reality.