Close Menu
TechCentralTechCentral

    Subscribe to the newsletter

    Get the best South African technology news and analysis delivered to your e-mail inbox every morning.

    Facebook X (Twitter) YouTube LinkedIn
    WhatsApp Facebook X (Twitter) LinkedIn YouTube
    TechCentralTechCentral
    • News
      China nets a falling rocket in reusability race with SpaceX

      China nets a falling rocket in reusability race with SpaceX

      10 July 2026
      Battlefield tech could save lives on South Africa's roads - Dithoto Modungwa

      Battlefield tech could save lives on South Africa’s roads

      10 July 2026
      Customers prefer ChatGPT to your company's AI chatbot

      Customers prefer ChatGPT to your company’s AI chatbot

      10 July 2026
      South Africans warm to AI doing their shopping: DHL

      South Africans warm to AI doing their shopping: DHL

      10 July 2026
      OpenAI debuts ChatGPT Work - and GPT-5.6 - in enterprise push

      OpenAI debuts ChatGPT Work – and GPT-5.6 – in enterprise push

      10 July 2026
    • World
      Swingeing jobs cuts at Microsoft's Xbox unit

      Swingeing jobs cuts at Microsoft’s Xbox unit

      6 July 2026

      SK Hynix ends Samsung’s 26-year reign at the top

      22 June 2026
      Google on the hook for what its AI tells users, court rules

      Google on the hook for what its AI tells users, court rules

      15 June 2026
      How Russians juggle VPNs to outwit the Kremlin

      How Russians juggle VPNs to outwit the Kremlin

      15 June 2026
      Amazon CEO flagged Anthropic AI risks to Washington - Andy Jassy

      Amazon CEO flagged Anthropic AI risks to Washington

      14 June 2026
    • In-depth
      AI boom sparks rally, frenzy and fear

      AI boom sparks rally, frenzy and fear

      11 June 2026
      Every plug-in hybrid on sale in South Africa, ranked by price - Lamborghini Temerario

      Every plug-in hybrid on sale in South Africa, ranked by price

      7 June 2026
      What Wi-Fi 8 will mean for wireless networks

      What Wi-Fi 8 will mean for wireless networks

      1 June 2026
      Alfa's electric rebel - Alfa Romeo Junior Elettrica Veloce

      Alfa’s electric rebel

      29 April 2026
      Africa switches on as Europe dims the lights

      Africa switches on as Europe dims the lights

      9 April 2026
    • TCS
      Watts & Wheels S1E7: 'Ferrari's EV breaks the internet'

      Watts & Wheels S1E7: ‘Ferrari’s EV breaks the internet’

      8 July 2026
      TCS+ | How Tracker is turning vehicle data into business strategy - Silvia Schollenberger

      TCS+ | How Tracker is turning vehicle data into business strategy

      1 July 2026
      TCS+ | IBM Bob: an AI-powered 'development partner' for the enterprise - David Spurway

      TCS+ | IBM Bob: an AI-powered development partner for the enterprise

      30 June 2026
      Watts & Wheels S1E6: 'A flawless Alfa and a bakkie that divides'

      Watts & Wheels S1E6: ‘A flawless Alfa and a bakkie that divides’

      17 June 2026
      Watts & Wheels S1E6: 'A flawless Alfa and a bakkie that divides'

      Watts & Wheels S1E5: ‘A Bentley of the bush and a car that swims’

      8 June 2026
    • Opinion
      The author, Fanie van Rooyen

      South Africa can still catch the AI wave – here’s how

      7 July 2026
      The author, Fanie van Rooyen

      The AI utopia South Africa can’t afford

      1 July 2026
      The author, Jannie van Zyl

      South Africa’s broadband future is being decided in orbit, not in Pretoria

      30 June 2026
      The author, Pambos Soteriades

      The pivot South Africa’s MVNOs cannot afford to miss

      23 June 2026
      Brazil's online gambling crackdown is a lesson for South Africa

      Brazil’s online gambling crackdown is a lesson for South Africa

      22 June 2026
    • Company Hubs
      • 1Stream
      • Africa Data Centres
      • AfriGIS
      • Altron Digital Business
      • Altron Document Solutions
      • Altron Group
      • Arctic Wolf
      • Ascent Technology
      • AvertITD
      • BBD
      • Braintree
      • CallMiner
      • CambriLearn
      • CM Telecom
      • Contactable
      • CYBER1 Solutions
      • Digicloud Africa
      • Digimune
      • Domains.co.za
      • ESET
      • Euphoria Telecom
      • HOSTAFRICA
      • Incredible Business
      • iONLINE
      • IQbusiness
      • Iris Network Systems
      • Kaspersky
      • LSD Open
      • Mitel
      • NEC XON
      • Netstar
      • Network Platforms
      • Next DLP
      • Ovations
      • Paracon
      • Paratus
      • Q-KON
      • SevenC
      • SkyWire
      • Solid8 Technologies
      • Telit Cinterion
      • Telviva
      • Tenable
      • Vertiv
      • Videri Digital
      • Vodacom Business
      • Wipro
      • Workday
      • XLink
    • Sections
      • AI and machine learning
      • Banking
      • Broadcasting and Media
      • Cloud services
      • Contact centres and CX
      • Cryptocurrencies
      • Education and skills
      • Electronics and hardware
      • Energy and sustainability
      • Enterprise software
      • Financial services
      • HealthTech
      • Information security
      • Internet and connectivity
      • Internet of Things
      • Investment
      • IT services
      • Lifestyle
      • Policy and regulation
      • Public sector
      • Retail and e-commerce
      • Satellite communications
      • Science
      • SMEs and start-ups
      • Social media
      • Talent and leadership
      • Telecoms
      • Watts & Wheels
    • Events
    • Advertise
    TechCentralTechCentral
    Home » In-depth » SA telcos still an investment bet

    SA telcos still an investment bet

    By Larry Claasen12 August 2015
    Twitter LinkedIn Facebook WhatsApp Email Telegram Copy Link
    News Alerts
    WhatsApp
    Equities analyst Irnest Kaplan
    Equities analyst Irnest Kaplan

    The double blow of a maturing voice market and a sluggish local economy has not made life easy for South Africa’s telecommunications companies.

    Vodacom’s revenue was up by only 2,1% to R77,3bn and earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) fell by 1,5% to R26,9bn for the year-to-end March.

    There is a similar story at MTN where its South African operations saw revenue fall by 3,9% to R38,9bn and Ebitda fall by 11,1% to R12,5bn for the year to December 2014.

    Fixed-line operator Telkom was not spared. Operating revenue increased by only 1,2% to R31,7bn and its profit for the year to March fell by 19,5% to R2,9bn.

    Though these companies have problems that are specific to the telecoms sector, they are also feeling the impact of an economy that has not fully recovered from the 2008 financial crisis and the uncertainty arising from Eskom’s ability to provide a constant supply of electricity.

    “They are seeing the the impact of people trying to cut corners. If they can save R100 or R200/month by spending less on calls, they will do it,” says Irnest Kaplan, MD of Kaplan Equity Analysts.

    The only upside is that all three have seen a significant rise in the demand for Internet access. Vodacom says for the quarter-to-end June, data revenue accelerated by 35,2% to R4,8bn and active data customers grew by 10,8% to 28m.

    For its part, MTN South Africa’s data revenue for the quarter to end-March was up by 21,8% year-on-year and now contributes 27,7% to total revenue.

    Telkom also saw significant growth in its data products with mobile data revenue rising by more than 50% to R988m and fixed data traffic volume rising by 32% to 33 petabytes.

    Though the growing demand for data is a good news for the sector, it also means companies have to make significant changes to their business models. Under the old voice business models, the operators used to charge a premium rate for a service that did not require their customers to stay on the phone for long; average usage for prepaid users was only about 30 minutes a month.

    The advantage of this model was that it meant their networks did not have to carry a lot traffic per user for them to make substantial profits. The days of this model are now on the wane as a saturated voice market and political pressure to bring down prices is taking its toll.

    In becoming data providers, however, the mobile operators are in effect becoming utilities by adopting a strategy that sees them charging substantially lower rates and hoping their customers use their service as much as possible.

    This shift requires them to make substantial investments in their network and to get access to fixed-line infrastructure to reduce the cost of providing the service.

    This is what Vodacom is trying to do in its R7bn bid for Neotel, which has access to a national high-speed fibre network. It also spent R1,7bn on capital expenditure, mostly related to expanding it 3G and 4G/LTE sites.

    MTN-640

    Though MTN is also committed to expanding its 3G and 4G network, in many ways it has more options than Vodacom. Its Nigerian operation remains a significant driver of growth and the lifting of sanctions in Iran means it is free to repatriate about US$1bn (R12,9bn) it had trapped there.

    If MTN gets its data model right in South Africa, it could use it as a template for its foreign operations when their voice markets start to mature.

    But even if the telcos get their data models right, it will still take some time for data to become the dominant driver of earnings.

    Kaplan says this is no reason to see the telecoms companies and the mobile operators in particular as troubled investments. “Don’t confuse not growing with them not being good investments.”

    He argues that in an economy where most other large businesses are struggling, these are resilient companies which can still afford to pay out dividend yields of 5% to 6%. This is on par with a return an investor can get from a fixed deposit, and that excludes the possibility of capital growth.

    Kaplan has a point. MTN’s dividend yield is 7,5% on a share price of R214 and Vodacom is 5,5% on a share price of R141,47. Even Telkom, which has not issued a dividend since 2011, declared an ordinary dividend of 215c/share and special dividend of 30c/share this year.

    The businesses may face some challenges, but there is one other reason why they should not be dismissed as an investment. “What other large businesses collect their cash before they sell you the product?” he asks.

    • This article was first published on Moneyweb’s The Investor and is republished here with permission
    Follow TechCentral on Google News Add TechCentral as your preferred source on Google


    Irnest Kaplan MTN Telkom Vodacom
    WhatsApp YouTube
    Share. Facebook Twitter LinkedIn WhatsApp Telegram Email Copy Link
    Previous ArticleNew name, old Google problems
    Next Article StarSat won’t withdraw DStv complaint

    Related Posts

    Memo to Eskom: Telkom already lost this fight

    Memo to Eskom: Telkom already lost this fight

    8 July 2026
    Safaricom shareholders to vote on Vodacom's CEO powers

    Safaricom shareholders to vote on Vodacom’s CEO powers

    8 July 2026
    'Construction mafia and spies': alarm over new Icasa rules

    ‘Construction mafia and spies’: alarm over new Icasa rules

    7 July 2026
    Company News
    Rain supercharges 5G with Huawei

    Rain supercharges 5G with Huawei

    10 July 2026
    Africa's data centres: AI, edge computing and new energy demands - Vertiv OADC Open Access Data Centres

    Africa’s data centres: AI, edge computing and new energy demands

    9 July 2026
    The best way to automate customer engagement using AI and WhatsApp - CM.com

    The best way to automate customer engagement using AI and WhatsApp

    9 July 2026
    Opinion
    The author, Fanie van Rooyen

    South Africa can still catch the AI wave – here’s how

    7 July 2026
    The author, Fanie van Rooyen

    The AI utopia South Africa can’t afford

    1 July 2026
    The author, Jannie van Zyl

    South Africa’s broadband future is being decided in orbit, not in Pretoria

    30 June 2026

    Subscribe to Updates

    Get the best South African technology news and analysis delivered to your e-mail inbox every morning.

    Latest Posts
    China nets a falling rocket in reusability race with SpaceX

    China nets a falling rocket in reusability race with SpaceX

    10 July 2026
    Battlefield tech could save lives on South Africa's roads - Dithoto Modungwa

    Battlefield tech could save lives on South Africa’s roads

    10 July 2026
    Customers prefer ChatGPT to your company's AI chatbot

    Customers prefer ChatGPT to your company’s AI chatbot

    10 July 2026
    Rain supercharges 5G with Huawei

    Rain supercharges 5G with Huawei

    10 July 2026
    © 2009 - 2026 NewsCentral Media
    Built and maintained by Chronon
    • Cookie policy (ZA)
    • TechCentral – privacy and Popia

    Type above and press Enter to search. Press Esc to cancel.

    Manage consent

    TechCentral uses cookies to enhance its offerings. Consenting to these technologies allows us to serve you better. Not consenting or withdrawing consent may adversely affect certain features and functions of the website.

    Functional Always active
    The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
    Preferences
    The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
    Statistics
    The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes. The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
    Marketing
    The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
    • Manage options
    • Manage services
    • Manage {vendor_count} vendors
    • Read more about these purposes
    View preferences
    • {title}
    • {title}
    • {title}