Close Menu
TechCentralTechCentral

    Subscribe to the newsletter

    Get the best South African technology news and analysis delivered to your e-mail inbox every morning.

    Facebook X (Twitter) YouTube LinkedIn
    WhatsApp Facebook X (Twitter) LinkedIn YouTube
    TechCentralTechCentral
    • News
      South African IT spending surging as AI boom lands locally

      South African IT spending surging as AI boom lands locally

      29 July 2026
      Radical rethink for South Africa's national AI policy

      Radical rethink for South Africa’s national AI policy

      29 July 2026
      South African tech's compounding debt problem

      South African tech’s compounding debt problem

      29 July 2026
      Russia charges Telegram founder with terrorism - Pavel Durov

      Russia charges Telegram founder with terrorism

      29 July 2026
      Green light for massive new Cape Town data centres

      Green light for massive new Cape Town data centres

      29 July 2026
    • World
      Meta AI will now tell parents if their teen is in crisis

      Meta AI will now tell parents if their teen is in crisis

      17 July 2026
      IBM shares crash 25% as AI upends software spending - Arvind Krishna

      IBM shares crash 25% as AI upends software spending

      15 July 2026
      Jony Ive's first OpenAI device: an AI smart speaker - Jony Ive and Sam Altman

      Jony Ive’s first OpenAI device: an AI smart speaker

      15 July 2026
      Stripe, Advent in talks to buy PayPal for $53-billion

      Stripe, Advent in talks to buy PayPal for $53-billion

      15 July 2026
      Memory crisis sends smartphone market into steep decline

      Memory crisis sends smartphone market into steep decline

      13 July 2026
    • In-depth
      The plan to stop AI from breaking the world - Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis. Image: John Sears

      The plan to stop AI from breaking the world

      16 July 2026
      The internet has a Strait of Hormuz problem

      The internet has a Strait of Hormuz problem

      15 July 2026
      AI boom sparks rally, frenzy and fear

      AI boom sparks rally, frenzy and fear

      11 June 2026
      Every plug-in hybrid on sale in South Africa, ranked by price - Lamborghini Temerario

      Every plug-in hybrid on sale in South Africa, ranked by price

      7 June 2026
      What Wi-Fi 8 will mean for wireless networks

      What Wi-Fi 8 will mean for wireless networks

      1 June 2026
    • TCS
      TCS+ | A smarter approach to cloud for South African businesses - Joel Chacko and Jonathan Oaker

      TCS+ | A smarter approach to cloud for South African businesses

      28 July 2026
      TCS | How Optasia lends billions to people banks can't see - Salvador Anglada

      TCS | How Optasia lends billions to people banks can’t see

      23 July 2026
      The rands-and-cents case for electric trucks - William Kelly Watts & Wheels with Wills

      The rands-and-cents case for electric trucks

      20 July 2026
      Watts & Wheels S1E7: 'Ferrari's EV breaks the internet'

      Watts & Wheels S1E7: ‘Ferrari’s EV breaks the internet’

      8 July 2026
      TCS | Pick n Pay's Enrico Ferigolli on Penny, the AI that shops for you

      TCS | Pick n Pay’s Enrico Ferigolli on Penny, the AI that shops for you

      2 July 2026
    • Opinion
      The author, Jannie van Zyl

      Selling vapour is corporate suicide in slow motion

      16 July 2026
      Brazil's online gambling crackdown is a lesson for South Africa

      How Amazon outmanoeuvred Starlink in South Africa

      15 July 2026
      The Popia problem with agentic AI - Herman Haasbroek

      The Popia problem with agentic AI

      14 July 2026
      The author, Fanie van Rooyen

      South Africa can still catch the AI wave – here’s how

      7 July 2026
      The author, Fanie van Rooyen

      The AI utopia South Africa can’t afford

      1 July 2026
    • Company Hubs
      • 1Stream
      • Africa Data Centres
      • AfriGIS
      • Altron Digital Business
      • Altron Document Solutions
      • Altron Group
      • Arctic Wolf
      • Ascent Technology
      • AvertITD
      • BBD
      • Braintree
      • CallMiner
      • CambriLearn
      • CM Telecom
      • Contactable
      • CYBER1 Solutions
      • Digicloud Africa
      • Digimune
      • Domains.co.za
      • ESET
      • Euphoria Telecom
      • HOSTAFRICA
      • Incredible Business
      • iONLINE
      • IQbusiness
      • Iris Network Systems
      • Kaspersky
      • LSD Open
      • Mitel
      • NEC XON
      • Netstar
      • Network Platforms
      • Next DLP
      • Ovations
      • Paracon
      • Paratus
      • Q-KON
      • SevenC
      • SkyWire
      • Solid8 Technologies
      • Telit Cinterion
      • Telviva
      • Tenable
      • Vertiv
      • Videri Digital
      • Vodacom Business
      • Vox
      • Wipro
      • Workday
      • XLink
    • Sections
      • AI and machine learning
      • Banking
      • Broadcasting and Media
      • Cloud services
      • Contact centres and CX
      • Cryptocurrencies
      • Education and skills
      • Electronics and hardware
      • Energy and sustainability
      • Enterprise software
      • Financial services
      • HealthTech
      • Information security
      • Internet and connectivity
      • Internet of Things
      • Investment
      • IT services
      • Lifestyle
      • Policy and regulation
      • Public sector
      • Retail and e-commerce
      • Satellite communications
      • Science
      • SMEs and start-ups
      • Social media
      • Talent and leadership
      • Telecoms
      • Watts & Wheels
    • Events
    • Advertise
    TechCentralTechCentral
    Home » Opinion » Gerrit Smit on Alphabet’s underappreciated growth drivers

    Gerrit Smit on Alphabet’s underappreciated growth drivers

    Google parent Alphabet is inherently positioned for structural growth, writes Stonehage Fleming head of equity Gerrit Smit.
    By Gerrit Smit21 September 2022
    Twitter LinkedIn Facebook WhatsApp Email Telegram Copy Link
    News Alerts
    WhatsApp
    The author, Gerrit Smit

    Many young people do not know of a world without Google and perceive it to be a mature business. With an over 90% search market share in the US and over half of the world’s population using its search engine, the question can rightly be asked where further growth can come from.

    Google is the world’s largest advertising media company, but still has less than a third of the overall advertising share in the US, with the digital advertising market making up about 68% of the total advertising market. There is therefore further market share for the taking, but irrespective of this, parent company Alphabet is inherently positioned for structural growth.

    While many advertising companies are cyclical with a single growth driver, Alphabet has succeeded in developing multiple drivers for continuing organic growth. The core search engine remains the primary advertising medium for most businesses and it remains exceptionally resilient under the current more difficult economic circumstances. Google Play (Android) was understandably the reason why Apple’s late co-founder Steve Jobs resigned from Google’s board, and is today the operating system used on almost three quarters of the world’s mobile phones, earning it commissions on those mobile transactions and settlements.

    YouTube, with more than 2.5 billion users worldwide, has grown its revenue comparable to Netflix’s

    YouTube, with more than 2.5 billion users worldwide, has grown its revenue comparable to Netflix’s, while the cost of its content is a fraction of a normal media company’s. Almost a quarter more US teens use YouTube than either TikTok or Instagram. While Google Cloud has grown into the US’s third largest cloud services company, it still invests heavily, scaling the business for eventual profitability as another major growth driver. This overall combination clearly shines through if one considers that its overall revenue growth has kept pace even with Apple’s “crown jewel” (its services division) over both the past five- and 10-year periods.

    Alphabet is one of the scarcer quality technology-driven companies with free options on further future organic growth drivers. It invests heavily in artificial intelligence, quantum computing, self-driving cars (Waymo) and biotechnology (Verily Life Sciences). It is particularly active in healthcare, having last year alone invested US$1.7-billion in visionary healthcare ideas, earning it fifth position of all companies in the Nature index (which tracks the success of scientific analysis in life sciences). It recently also completed the acquisition of Fitbit.

    Alphabet deserves particular credit for its management culture, organising the business for sustainable organic growth.

    Not so with Alphabet

    Tech entrepreneurs usually demand independence and enjoy implementing their vision for the business, leaving proper corporate governance for successors to pick up. Not so with Alphabet.

    Larry Page and Sergey Brin developed the search engine while studying at Stanford University, and in 1998 offered it to Yahoo for $1-million. After being turned down, they started their own business and in 2001 appointed Eric Schmidt as CEO, with them as presidents. This independent appointment was key to developing Google’s professional business, with a well-balanced board from academic, scientific and creative fields.

    Critically, in terms of financial disciplines, they appointed Ruth Porat from Morgan Stanley as chief financial officer. Few technology entrepreneurs are willing to limit their dreams in this way. The formation of Alphabet as an overall holding company soon afterwards with Other Bets as a separate business was testimony to this.

    Many equity investors seek strong and sustainable organic growth and find candidates under the theme of the digital revolution. The challenge is to identify companies that are already very profitable and have strong balance sheets – not the more “moonshot” type of businesses that are still capital intensive and need further shareholder financial support.

    Alphabet has a gross margin of 57% and an operating margin of 31%. Its overall return on capital invested is 21%, and rises to 51% excluding the cash on the balance sheet. It has $140-billion in cash (10% of its market capitalisation), allowing for enhanced share buyback activity.

    Image: Mitchell Luo/Unsplash

    While Alphabet keeps reinvesting actively and last year spent over 12% of sales on research and development, it has built a strong record of generating excess free cash flow – in our view the main reason for investing in a stock, and the main determinant of the fundamental value of a business. Alphabet’s free cash flow sometimes takes a large step upwards and then stabilises, but seldom takes a large step backwards. This clearly is of comfort to investors.

    The current economic outlook is particularly uncertain, and the overall advertising market may not impress for a while. Although Alphabet can easily “manage” its financial results by holding back investment in, say, Google Cloud, it is not so short-sighted. Regulatory risks have been looming for a long time, in essence resulting from the company’s effectiveness.

    At listing, Alphabet (Google) made it clear that it is not a conventional company. With its silver jubilee exactly a year away it has good reason to start thinking about unconventional celebrations.

    • The author, Gerrit Smit, is head of equity and portfolio manager at Stonehage Fleming Investment Management
    Follow TechCentral on Google News Add TechCentral as your preferred source on Google


    Alphabet Gerrit Smit Google Stonehage Fleming
    WhatsApp YouTube
    Share. Facebook Twitter LinkedIn WhatsApp Telegram Email Copy Link
    Previous ArticleSouth Africa’s energy infrastructure is threatened, needs protection
    Next Article Looming authentication deadline could put local merchants at risk

    Related Posts

    Africa's most popular phones have a tracking problem

    Africa’s most popular phones have a tracking problem

    24 July 2026
    The plan to stop AI from breaking the world - Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis. Image: John Sears

    The plan to stop AI from breaking the world

    16 July 2026
    The lone ship guarding Africa's internet - Léon Thévenin

    The lone ship guarding Africa’s internet

    14 July 2026
    Company News
    Huawei Connect 2026: taking South African AI beyond pilots

    Huawei Connect 2026: taking South African AI beyond pilots

    29 July 2026
    Apple at Work: business technology that works as one

    Apple at Work: business technology that works as one

    29 July 2026
    The infrastructure behind smart account-based recurring payments in South Africa - Pay@ Capitec Pay

    The infrastructure behind smart account-based recurring payments in South Africa

    29 July 2026
    Opinion
    The author, Jannie van Zyl

    Selling vapour is corporate suicide in slow motion

    16 July 2026
    Brazil's online gambling crackdown is a lesson for South Africa

    How Amazon outmanoeuvred Starlink in South Africa

    15 July 2026
    The Popia problem with agentic AI - Herman Haasbroek

    The Popia problem with agentic AI

    14 July 2026

    Subscribe to Updates

    Get the best South African technology news and analysis delivered to your e-mail inbox every morning.

    Latest Posts
    South African IT spending surging as AI boom lands locally

    South African IT spending surging as AI boom lands locally

    29 July 2026
    Radical rethink for South Africa's national AI policy

    Radical rethink for South Africa’s national AI policy

    29 July 2026
    South African tech's compounding debt problem

    South African tech’s compounding debt problem

    29 July 2026
    Russia charges Telegram founder with terrorism - Pavel Durov

    Russia charges Telegram founder with terrorism

    29 July 2026
    © 2009 - 2026 NewsCentral Media
    Built and maintained by Chronon
    • Cookie policy (ZA)
    • TechCentral – privacy and Popia

    Type above and press Enter to search. Press Esc to cancel.

    Manage consent

    TechCentral uses cookies to enhance its offerings. Consenting to these technologies allows us to serve you better. Not consenting or withdrawing consent may adversely affect certain features and functions of the website.

    Functional Always active
    The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
    Preferences
    The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
    Statistics
    The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes. The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
    Marketing
    The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
    • Manage options
    • Manage services
    • Manage {vendor_count} vendors
    • Read more about these purposes
    View preferences
    • {title}
    • {title}
    • {title}