Microsoft overtook Apple as the world’s most valuable company on Thursday after the iPhone maker began 2024 with its worst start in years due to growing demand concerns.

Shares of Redmond, Washington-based Microsoft rose 1.5%, giving it a market valuation of US$2.888-trillion as its early lead in the race to make money from generative artificial intelligence helped draw investors.

Apple was 0.3% lower with a market capitalisation of $2.887-trillion — the first time since 2021 that its valuation has fallen below that of Microsoft.

The Cupertino, California-based company’s stock has slid 3.3% so far in January as of last close, compared with a 1.8% rise in Microsoft.

The weakness in Apple follows a series of rating downgrades that have fanned worries that sales of the iPhone, its biggest cash cow, would stay weak, especially in major market China.

“China could be a drag on performance over the coming years,” brokerage Redburn Atlantic said in a client note on Wednesday, pointing to competition from a resurgent Huawei and Sino-US tensions that have increased pressure on Apple.

The brokerage added Apple’s services business — a bright spot in recent quarters — faces threats as regulators deepen scrutiny of a lucrative deal that makes Google the default search engine on iOS.

Gen AI

Shares of Apple, whose market capitalisation peaked at $3.081-trillion on 14 December, ended last year with a gain of 48%. That was lower than the 57% rise posted by Microsoft, which aggressively rolled out generative AI-powered tools in 2023 thanks to its tie-up with ChatGPT maker OpenAI.

Microsoft has briefly taken the lead over Apple as the most valuable company a handful of times since 2018, most recently in 2021 when concerns about Covid-driven supply-chain shortages hit the iPhone maker’s stock price.

Currently, Wall Street is more positive on Microsoft. The company has no “sell” rating and nearly 90% of the brokerages covering the company recommend buying the stock. Apple has two “sell” ratings and only two-thirds of the analysts covering the company rate it a “buy”.

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Both the stocks look relatively expensive in terms of price to their expected earnings, a common method of valuing publicly listed companies. Apple is trading at a forward p:e of 28x, well above its average of 19 over the past 10 years, according to LSEG data. Microsoft is trading around 31x forward earnings, above its 10-year average of 24x. — Aditya Soni, (c) 2024 Reuters