Close Menu
TechCentralTechCentral

    Subscribe to the newsletter

    Get the best South African technology news and analysis delivered to your e-mail inbox every morning.

    Facebook X (Twitter) YouTube LinkedIn
    WhatsApp Facebook X (Twitter) LinkedIn YouTube
    TechCentralTechCentral
    • News
      Oracle is slashing its workforce as it automates with AI

      Oracle is slashing its workforce as it automates with AI

      23 June 2026
      Namibia tells Starlink to take a hike - again

      Namibia tells Starlink to take a hike – again

      22 June 2026
      Joburg the epicentre of South Africa's tech brain drain

      Joburg the epicentre of South Africa’s tech brain drain

      22 June 2026
      South Africa went cashless - except for the millions who didn't

      South Africa went cashless – except for the millions who didn’t

      22 June 2026
      That drone over your house is almost certainly breaking the law

      That drone over your house is almost certainly breaking the law

      22 June 2026
    • World

      SK Hynix ends Samsung’s 26-year reign at the top

      22 June 2026
      Google on the hook for what its AI tells users, court rules

      Google on the hook for what its AI tells users, court rules

      15 June 2026
      How Russians juggle VPNs to outwit the Kremlin

      How Russians juggle VPNs to outwit the Kremlin

      15 June 2026
      Amazon CEO flagged Anthropic AI risks to Washington - Andy Jassy

      Amazon CEO flagged Anthropic AI risks to Washington

      14 June 2026
      Trouble at Xbox

      Trouble at Xbox

      11 June 2026
    • In-depth
      AI boom sparks rally, frenzy and fear

      AI boom sparks rally, frenzy and fear

      11 June 2026
      Every plug-in hybrid on sale in South Africa, ranked by price - Lamborghini Temerario

      Every plug-in hybrid on sale in South Africa, ranked by price

      7 June 2026
      What Wi-Fi 8 will mean for wireless networks

      What Wi-Fi 8 will mean for wireless networks

      1 June 2026
      Alfa's electric rebel - Alfa Romeo Junior Elettrica Veloce

      Alfa’s electric rebel

      29 April 2026
      Africa switches on as Europe dims the lights

      Africa switches on as Europe dims the lights

      9 April 2026
    • TCS
      Watts & Wheels S1E6: 'A flawless Alfa and a bakkie that divides'

      Watts & Wheels S1E6: ‘A flawless Alfa and a bakkie that divides’

      17 June 2026
      Watts & Wheels S1E6: 'A flawless Alfa and a bakkie that divides'

      Watts & Wheels S1E5: ‘A Bentley of the bush and a car that swims’

      8 June 2026
      TCS | Charge's R1.8-billion bet on an off-grid EV future - Charge chairman Joubert Roux

      TCS | Charge’s R1.8-billion bet on an off-grid EV future

      18 May 2026
      TCS+ | The Up&Up Group on the hidden cost of AI - Jason Harrison

      TCS+ | The Up&Up Group on the hidden cost of AI

      13 May 2026
      Michael Rossouw

      TCS+ | The retirement decision most South Africans get wrong

      6 May 2026
    • Opinion
      Finish the job Mandela started - Farzam Ehsani

      Finish the job Mandela started

      18 June 2026
      The author, Fanie van Rooyen

      The US just showed it can switch off our AI

      17 June 2026
      The clock is ticking on South African banks' biggest advantage - Pambos Soteriades

      The clock is ticking on South African banks’ biggest advantage

      9 June 2026

      Clashing judgments leave South Africa’s crypto law unsettled

      2 June 2026
      The clock is ticking on South African banks' biggest advantage - Pambos Soteriades

      The trap inside South Africa’s banking MVNO boom

      1 June 2026
    • Company Hubs
      • 1Stream
      • Africa Data Centres
      • AfriGIS
      • Altron Digital Business
      • Altron Document Solutions
      • Altron Group
      • Arctic Wolf
      • Ascent Technology
      • AvertITD
      • BBD
      • Braintree
      • CallMiner
      • CambriLearn
      • CM Telecom
      • Contactable
      • CYBER1 Solutions
      • Digicloud Africa
      • Digimune
      • Domains.co.za
      • ESET
      • Euphoria Telecom
      • HOSTAFRICA
      • Incredible Business
      • iONLINE
      • IQbusiness
      • Iris Network Systems
      • Kaspersky
      • LSD Open
      • Mitel
      • NEC XON
      • Netstar
      • Network Platforms
      • Next DLP
      • Ovations
      • Paracon
      • Paratus
      • Q-KON
      • SevenC
      • SkyWire
      • Solid8 Technologies
      • Telit Cinterion
      • Telviva
      • Tenable
      • Vertiv
      • Videri Digital
      • Vodacom Business
      • Wipro
      • Workday
      • XLink
    • Sections
      • AI and machine learning
      • Banking
      • Broadcasting and Media
      • Cloud services
      • Contact centres and CX
      • Cryptocurrencies
      • Education and skills
      • Electronics and hardware
      • Energy and sustainability
      • Enterprise software
      • Financial services
      • HealthTech
      • Information security
      • Internet and connectivity
      • Internet of Things
      • Investment
      • IT services
      • Lifestyle
      • Motoring
      • Policy and regulation
      • Public sector
      • Retail and e-commerce
      • Satellite communications
      • Science
      • SMEs and start-ups
      • Social media
      • Talent and leadership
      • Telecoms
    • Events
    • Advertise
    TechCentralTechCentral
    Home » In-depth » Is Facebook’s fall just a blip for tech stocks?

    Is Facebook’s fall just a blip for tech stocks?

    By Patrick Cairns31 July 2018
    Twitter LinkedIn Facebook WhatsApp Email Telegram Copy Link
    News Alerts
    WhatsApp

    On Wednesday last week, Facebook’s share price closed at an all-time high of US$217.50/share. By the close of trading the next day, however, it had fallen to $174.97.

    This almost 19% drop was the biggest one-day loss in US market history in terms of the value it represented. Overall, $119-billion was wiped out of Facebook’s market capitalisation. That is more than the GDP of Morocco.

    Investors were prompted into selling not just because the company’s revenue and user growth came in slightly below expectations, but because Facebook projected these growth rates to decline even further.

    When a company is trading on multiples that demand sustained high growth, this kind of revelation can cause a significant de-rating, and that is exactly what happened. Yet, even after the correction, Facebook is still trading on a price-to-earnings multiple of over 24 times (down from over 33). Its price-to-sales ratio is over 10.

    In other words, the share is still priced for growth. As the below table indicates, its well-known peers are also trading on high valuations:

    Source: Bloomberg

    There is a lot of debate in the investment industry about whether these kinds of valuations are sustainable. Many will point to what happened to Facebook last week as exactly the risk that investors face in these companies: they only have to disappoint the market marginally for their share prices to be punished. Yet, even taking into account last week’s events, the Fang+ Index on the New York Stock Exchange has still outperformed the S&P 500 by 28% over the past year.

    The argument many will make is that the technology giants in particular, and the industry more broadly, are riding a wave that isn’t slowing. Kevin Williams from Bataleur Capital says that technology is a secular growth story that investors can’t ignore.

    “If you look at the revenue growth in the technology space, it grows at multiples above global GDP growth,” he points out. “We think the valuations in the technology space in general are reasonable given the growth outlook, although obviously there are certain exceptions.”

    We think the valuations in the technology space in general are reasonable given the growth outlook, although obviously there are certain exceptions

    Williams notes that there are now 3.6 billion Internet users, which is more than half of the world’s population. In total, 30% of the people on the planet use social media. This is also growing at 7%/year, which is twice the global GDP growth rate.

    The companies taking advantage of this growth in areas such as e-commerce, Internet advertising, online payments, video streaming and cloud services are therefore highly attractive. In particular, those that have been able to leverage existing client bases to spread their footprint into other markets have a significant advantage.

    “Facebook has over two billion users,” Williams points out. “That’s more than a quarter of the world’s population. Google also has two billion users, on Android phones. These are phenomenal client bases that these companies have, and they are unmatched by anyone else globally.”

    This has resulted in an environment where big players just keep getting bigger.

    “The prize for being number one is enormous, because how often do you think about the second or third or fourth online shopping or classified advertising business?” says Rory Spangenberg, director of global equities at Northstar Asset Management. “From an investment perspective, that’s also very interesting because you don’t want to necessarily be in the second or third competitor.”

    Winners keep on winning

    Due to their focus on continued development, the biggest players are also able to entrench their positions.

    “Many of these companies are very strong cash generators, and they spend an enormous amount of money on R&D and new projects to discover the next big thing, which just entrenches their moat,” Williams points out.

    The strength of their core business also allows them to put up with losses in other areas for extended periods if they have high enough convictions about future profitability. Tencent has been particularly adept at this in the Chinese market. It started with only an instant messaging service, but has spread into fields as diverse as streaming, cloud computing and gaming, and has become a dominant player almost everywhere it turns.

    “The strength of Tencent is that diversity,” Spangenberg says. “The early success and the scale that it reached so quickly in the core social media and instant messaging businesses allowed it essentially to incubate the other business because it could stomach huge losses.”

    A characteristic of these companies has been their exceptional return on invested capital. Spangenberg notes that a McKinsey study on corporate value creation has picked up a clear trend in this regard.

    “Over the long run, companies have delivered a return on invested capital of about 10%,” he says. “Since 2013, however, there has been a step change in the median return because IT and health-care companies have come to represent a much larger part of the market. In traditional industries you haven’t seen any change in the long-run average return, but there is a small group of sectors where you have seen a meaningful step change.”

    According to technology bulls, this is good reason to believe that although Facebook’s short-term decline is noteworthy, it doesn’t change the long-term story.

    “The technology space is volatile because it’s such a fast-growing area,” says Williams. “And because valuations of these companies in absolute terms are not cheap, there can be a lot of price movement in the underlying shares from time to time. But that doesn’t change the secular growth structure of this industry.”

    • This article was originally published on Moneyweb and is used here with permission
    Follow TechCentral on Google News Add TechCentral as your preferred source on Google


    Facebook Tencent top
    WhatsApp YouTube
    Share. Facebook Twitter LinkedIn WhatsApp Telegram Email Copy Link
    Previous ArticleWeak smartphone demand hits Samsung profits
    Next Article PlayStation underpins strong growth at Sony

    Related Posts

    Jury finds Meta enabled child exploitation

    Jury finds Meta enabled child exploitation

    25 March 2026
    Australia has banned kids from social media. Should South Africa follow suit?

    Australia has banned kids from social media. Should South Africa follow suit?

    11 December 2025
    social media

    Australia fires starting gun on global social media reform

    10 December 2025
    Company News
    A smarter way to buy or renew your Red Hat subscriptions - LSD Open

    A smarter way to buy or renew your Red Hat subscriptions

    22 June 2026
    Moving past the pilot: inside the CloudZA and AWS closed-door AI executive roundtable

    CloudZA and AWS chart the road from AI pilots to production

    19 June 2026
    The role of edge infrastructure in South Africa's AI leap - OADC Open Access Data Centres

    The role of edge infrastructure in South Africa’s AI leap

    19 June 2026
    Opinion
    Finish the job Mandela started - Farzam Ehsani

    Finish the job Mandela started

    18 June 2026
    The author, Fanie van Rooyen

    The US just showed it can switch off our AI

    17 June 2026
    The clock is ticking on South African banks' biggest advantage - Pambos Soteriades

    The clock is ticking on South African banks’ biggest advantage

    9 June 2026

    Subscribe to Updates

    Get the best South African technology news and analysis delivered to your e-mail inbox every morning.

    Latest Posts
    Oracle is slashing its workforce as it automates with AI

    Oracle is slashing its workforce as it automates with AI

    23 June 2026
    Namibia tells Starlink to take a hike - again

    Namibia tells Starlink to take a hike – again

    22 June 2026
    Joburg the epicentre of South Africa's tech brain drain

    Joburg the epicentre of South Africa’s tech brain drain

    22 June 2026
    South Africa went cashless - except for the millions who didn't

    South Africa went cashless – except for the millions who didn’t

    22 June 2026
    © 2009 - 2026 NewsCentral Media
    • Cookie policy (ZA)
    • TechCentral – privacy and Popia

    Type above and press Enter to search. Press Esc to cancel.

    Manage consent

    TechCentral uses cookies to enhance its offerings. Consenting to these technologies allows us to serve you better. Not consenting or withdrawing consent may adversely affect certain features and functions of the website.

    Functional Always active
    The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
    Preferences
    The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
    Statistics
    The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes. The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
    Marketing
    The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
    • Manage options
    • Manage services
    • Manage {vendor_count} vendors
    • Read more about these purposes
    View preferences
    • {title}
    • {title}
    • {title}