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    Home » Sections » Investment » Implosion inside: the unfolding nightmare at Intel

    Implosion inside: the unfolding nightmare at Intel

    Intel shares slumped 20% in extended trade after it announced sweeping job cuts and a suspension of its dividend.
    By Agency Staff2 August 2024
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    Implosion inside: the unfolding nightmare at IntelIntel plans to cut more than 15% of its workforce, some 17 500 people, and suspend its dividend starting in the fourth quarter as the chip maker pursues a turnaround focused on its money-losing manufacturing business.

    It also forecast third-quarter revenue below market estimates, grappling with a pullback in spending on traditional data centre semiconductors and a focus on AI chips, where it lags rivals.

    Shares of Santa Clara, California-based Intel slumped 20% in extended trade, setting the chip maker up to lose more than US$24-billion in market value. The stock had closed down 7% on Thursday, in tandem with a plunge in US chip stocks after a conservative forecast from ARM Holdings on Wednesday.

    I need less people at headquarters, more people in the field, supporting customers

    The results did not rock the broader chip industry.

    AI powerhouse Nvidia and smaller rival AMD ticked up after hours, underscoring how well-positioned they were to take advantage of the AI boom, and Intel’s relative disadvantage.

    “I need less people at headquarters, more people in the field, supporting customers,” CEO Pat Gelsinger said in an interview, talking about the job cuts. On the dividend suspension, he said: “Our objective is to … pay a competitive dividend over time, but right now, focusing on the balance sheet, deleveraging.”

    Intel, which employed 116 500 people as of 29 June, excluding some subsidiaries, said the majority of the job cuts would be completed by the end of 2024. In April, it declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.125/share.

    Spending slashed

    Intel is in the middle of a turnaround plan, focused on developing advanced AI processors and building-out its for-hire manufacturing capabilities, as it aims to recoup the technological edge it lost to Taiwan’s TSMC, the world’s largest contract chip maker.

    The push to energise that contracting foundry business under Gelsinger has increased Intel’s costs and pressured profit margins. More recently, the chip maker has said it will cut costs.

    On Thursday, Intel announced it would cut operating expenses and reduce capital expenditure by more than $10-billion in 2025, more than it initially planned.

    Read: Intel CEO fires back at Nvidia in AI chips battle

    “A $10-billion cost reduction plan shows that management is willing to take strong and drastic measures to right the ship and fix problems. But we are all asking, ‘is it enough’ and is it a bit of a late reaction considering that CEO Gelsinger has been at the helm for over three years?” said Michael Schulman, chief investment officer of Running Point Capital.

    The company had cash and cash equivalents of $11.3-billion, and total current liabilities of about $32-billion, as of 29 June.

    Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger is under huge pressure

    Intel’s lagging position in the market for AI chips has sent its shares down more than 40% so far this year.

    For the third quarter, Intel expects revenue of $12.5-billion to $13.5-billion, compared with analysts’ average estimate of $14.35-billion, LSEG data showed. It forecast adjusted gross margin of 38%, well short of market expectations of 45.7%.

    Analysts believe Intel’s plan to turn around the foundry business will take years to materialise and expect TSMC to maintain its lead, even as Intel has ramped up production of AI chips for PCs. The PC chip business grew 9% in the April-to-June quarter.

    The irony is that … their first AI PC-focused processors are selling much better than expected

    “The irony is that … their first AI PC-focused processors are selling much better than expected. The problem is that the costs for those chips are much higher, meaning their profitability on them isn’t great,” said Bob O’Donnell, chief analyst at Technalysis Research.

    “In addition, the data centre decline reinforces the fact that while companies are buying lots of infrastructure for AI, the vast majority is for non-Intel GPUs,” he said, referring to graphic processing units like those sold by Nvidia.

    Intel’s data centre business declined 3% in the quarter.

    Chief financial officer David Zinsner said on a post-earnings call that the chip maker expects weaker consumer and enterprise spending in the current quarter, especially in China.

    China

    Export licences that were revoked in May also hurt Intel’s business in China in the second quarter, he said. Intel said in May its sales there would take a hit after Washington revoked some of the chip maker’s export licences for a customer in China.

    Intel is also slashing investments.

    It expects to cut capital expenses by 17% in 2025 year-on-year to $21.5-billion, calculated on the midpoint of a range the chip maker forecast. It expects these costs to stay roughly flat in 2024.  — Arsheeya Bajwa, with Max Cherney, Noel Randewich and Juby Babu, (c) 2024 Reuters

    Read next: Intel’s nightmare: ARM targets half of PC market by 2029

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