South Africans should use next year’s elections to vote out “useless” politicians who have failed to prioritise jobs and drive investment, and choose leaders who will get the struggling economy back on track, according to one of the country’s top bankers.
“You have to have a half-decent government and I don’t think at the moment we are anywhere close,” Investec group CEO Fani Titi said in a speech at the Gordon Institute of Business Science in Johannesburg last week. “We get the government we deserve because we either don’t vote or when we vote, we vote poorly.”
The ANC has led South Africa since white minority rule ended in 1994. The government made initial strides in tacking poverty, unemployment and inequality, but its performance deteriorated markedly during President Jacob Zuma’s nine-year rule, which was marred by repeated corruption scandals, policy missteps and inappropriate appointments.
President Cyril Ramaphosa, who succeeded Zuma in 2018, has struggled to turn the situation around, with output constrained by electricity shortages and logistics bottlenecks.
The economy has expanded less than 2%/year over the past decade, the International Monetary Fund doesn’t expect its performance to improve markedly until 2028 at the earliest and national treasury has warned that state debt is approaching unsustainable levels.
“If you are not a little scared about the country, there’s something wrong with you, because the trajectory is not good at all,” Titi said. “We are governed by guys in their late 60s and some in their 70s with no idea about how the world works.”
Several opinion polls show the ANC risks losing its national majority for the first time next year, an eventuality that would force it into a coalition if it wants to retain power. The next administration has to focus on creating an environment that unlocks private sector investment and allows business to create jobs, according to Titi.
Critical elections
The upcoming election will be an opportunity to vote in younger people who have ideas on how to move the country forward, and the 2029 vote “will be critical”, he said. “If we don’t get it right, then you get to a tipping point where you can easily deteriorate into a Zimbabwe, where the courts don’t work, where the economy doesn’t work” for those without political connections, and that can’t be allowed to happen, Titi said.
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While the ANC and Ramaphosa concede that the country confronts a number of challenges, they say significant progress has also been made, including that more than 90% of households now have access to electricity for lighting and more than 80% have piped water.
An ANC spokeswoman didn’t immediately reply to a call or a text message seeking comment. — (c) 2023 Bloomberg LP